It Is BJP All The Way, For Now In Gujarat

By Bapu Narayankar

BJP will win 2017 Gujarat elections

For, Gujaratis are pride-driven

They would not vote against Modi, for he represents Gujarati asmita

Two, BJP enjoys a network of patronage in every sphere of society, from dairy cooperatives to self-help groups and rural banks

So, they would vote for BJP

Three, though there is curiosity and support for Hardik Patel, they may not vote for Congress

For instance, in 2012 elections, there was too much support for Keshubhai Patel, but his Gujarat Parivartan Party could not garner more than 3.6 per cent vote

Four, if Patels are to be given reservation, how is Congress going to reconcile Alpesh Thakore vote base, who led a counter-mobilisation against the Patel demand for quota and is now the emerging face of the Congress' Kashtriya domination?

Five, BJP has an edge among 67 per cent of the total voters (OBC - 37 per cent, ST - 15 per cent and General - 15 per cent)

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