My victory is start of BJP surge in state ... so said O Rajagopal ... He is the first BJP leader in Kerala to win an assembly seat .. a historic achievement ...
Something similar I had heard years ago when a BJP leader won the election from Karnataka ...
Those words were prophetic ... the BJP in 1983, under the leadership of A K Subbaiah, secured 18 seats and offered unconditional support to Janata Party to keep the Congress away ...
After years of long-drawn efforts, the BJP after a gap of 25 years, formed a government of its own ...
I clearly forsee the growth of BJP in Kerala, and I would rather prefer to be politically incorrect, to say in a decades time, BJP will emerge as a serious contender to form govt in Kerala, despite BJP winning one seat for now ... period ...
Why I say this ...
I tried to understand the dynamics of political thought gone into making inroads in Kerala ...
But how to understand it ...
No better than understanding the mind of Narendra Modi, especially Amit Shah ...
What roadmap they drafted to open an account even as making some political gains in municipal elections ...
The roadmap entirely was drafted after considering massive plummeting of Hindu population in Kerala, as per 2011 census ...
Hindus, who were the traditional majority community in Kerala, became a minority and Muslims and Christians together became majority ...
Shah and BJP leadership realised ... realised it could be detrimental to the Keralites’ identity and have serious consequences ...
So, how did Shah overcome this problem which had serous political ramifications ...
He gave the mantra of the consolidation of Hindu vote bank by directing party local leadership to launch a campaign to keep all Hindu organisations, including the Sree Narayana Dharma Paripalana Yogam (SNDP) united ...
He also directed them to strengthen the party base in Hindu majority constituencies in Kerala to reap maximum benefits in this Assembly election ...
Secondly, Shah scored a masterstroke by winning over SNDP, which shrunk the CPM base as the bulk of CPM cadre is drawn from SNDP, belonging to Ezhava community ...
What were the consequences ...
The BJP put up a terrific performance since 1980s period in the local body elections held in Nov last ...
BJP’s vote share also touched an all-time high of 14% in the election ...
The party also push UDF to third position in the Thiruvananthapuram Corporation and took control of Palakkad municipality ...
It also won about 14 village panchayats ... and it emerged as a kingmaker in several local bodies ...
Going through the pages of political history in Kerala, the BJP's voteshare has been steadily increasing over the years ..
It went up from 4.75 per cent in 2006 assembly elections to 10.3 per cent in 2014 general elections ...
So, what does this trend mean to political thinkers ....
Simple - there is a space for a third force in Kerala politics ... why ... because people are unhappy with UDF and LDF ...
Pause
I reiterate ... BJP will be a party to watch in future just as I watched its growth in Karnataka ...
And there's also a message for the irresponsible journalists, especially TRP guys in the light of Assam and TN poll results, to honor people's verdict and stay away from spreading lies and raking up false campaigns like the rabid "Intolerance" slogan ... Dadri lynching ... Award Wapasi ...
A very senior Union Minister, with whom I had a three-hour chat in his car, divulged some names who have been unhappy with Modi establishment for very cheap-dirty reasons ...
I wouldn't reveal the names and reasons ... but it is anybody's guess .... ha ha
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